Another vote demolishes Russian claims
Yet another survey has found extremely low support for the changes at present being pushed by Kremlin-supported militants in the east of Ukraine, while giving some interesting results regarding the presidential elections due on May 25.
The survey was carried out from 9-16 April by the Committee of Voters of Ukraine [CVU] together with the Razumkov Centre; the Kyiv Institute of Sociology; and the SOTSIS Social and Marketing Research Centre. It covered all parts of the country except the Crimea.
Given the widespread belief that Russia is seeking to prevent or at least influence the outcome of the presidential elections, it is noteworthy that the percentage of those planning to vote is high. 55.9% are certain that they will vote while another 29.2% say that they will probably take part. Only 3.7% answered that they probably would not be voting, with a further 7.4% certain that they would not.
On May 25, the voters’ preference would be for:
Petro Poroshenko 32.9%
Yulia Tymoshenko 9.5%
Serhiy Tihipko 5.1%
Mykhailo Dobkin 4.2%
Petro Symonenko 4%
Oleh Tyahnybok 1.4%
Dmytro Yarosh 0.7%
There are other candidates as well, however the above are of interest in the light of the position taken by the Kremlin. Mykhailo Dobkin, standing for the Party of the Regions, is clearly Russia’s favoured candidate and was put forward in initial demands to have a „representative” of eastern regions at the Geneva talks.
Even more pitiful are the results of the two candidates from the right wing VO Svoboda [Tyahnybok] and Right Sector [Yarosh]. Russia has long claimed that Kyiv is controlled by „fascists” with Right Sector being the particular bogeyman.
The results show clearly how small their electorate is.
Poroshenko’s result is up 8.0% since March; Tymoshenko’s up +1.3; Dobkin’s 4% is unchanged.