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28.04.2014

Another vote demolishes Russian claims

   

Yet another survey has found extremely low support for the changes at present being pushed by Kremlin-supported militants in the east of Ukraine, while giving some interesting results regarding the presidential elections due on May 25.

The survey was carried out from 9-16 April by the Committee of Voters of Ukraine [CVU] together with the Razumkov Centre; the Kyiv Institute of Sociology; and the SOTSIS Social and Marketing Research Centre. It covered all parts of the country except the Crimea.

Given the widespread belief that Russia is seeking to prevent or at least influence the outcome of the presidential elections, it is noteworthy that the percentage of those planning to vote is high. 55.9% are certain that they will vote while another 29.2% say that they will probably take part. Only 3.7% answered that they probably would not be voting, with a further 7.4% certain that they would not.

On May 25, the voters’ preference would be for:

Petro Poroshenko 32.9%

Yulia Tymoshenko 9.5%

Serhiy Tihipko 5.1%

Mykhailo Dobkin 4.2%

Petro Symonenko 4%

Oleh Tyahnybok 1.4%

Dmytro Yarosh 0.7%

There are other candidates as well, however the above are of interest in the light of the position taken by the Kremlin. Mykhailo Dobkin, standing for the Party of the Regions, is clearly Russia’s favoured candidate and was put forward in initial demands to have a „representative” of eastern regions at the Geneva talks.

Even more pitiful are the results of the two candidates from the right wing VO Svoboda [Tyahnybok] and Right Sector [Yarosh]. Russia has long claimed that Kyiv is controlled by „fascists” with Right Sector being the particular bogeyman.

The results show clearly how small their electorate is.

Poroshenko’s result is up 8.0% since March; Tymoshenko’s up +1.3; Dobkin’s 4% is unchanged.

In a second round of voting, Poroshenko would win regardless of which of the other main candidates stood against him.

Language

How should the Ukrainian and Russian languages co-exist in Ukraine%

Ukrainian should be the only state and official language; Russia can be used on a day-to-day basis like any other language of national minorities

37.3

Ukrainian should be the state language but Russian can have official status in some regions of the country

31.7

There should be two state languages

28.9

Another view

0.2

Don’t know / don’t wish to answer

1.9

 What kind of state structure do you support?

Unitary state

70.9

Federal state

18.7

Don’t know / don’t want to answer

10.4

 

How would you like to see relations between Ukraine and Russia?

They should be the same as with other countries – with closed borders; visa; customs control

30.8

Ukraine and Russia should be independent, but friendly states, with open borders; no visas or customs control

59.4

Ukraine and Russia should merge to form one country

4.8

Don’t know / don’t want to answer

5.1


 

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